IQVIA HOLDINGS INC. (IQV) Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Solid quarter with revenue above the high end of internal targets and modest beats vs S&P Global consensus on revenue and EPS; record backlog and improving RFP flow underpin 2H setup . Results: Revenue $4.017B (+5.3% y/y), Adj. EPS $2.81 (+6.4% y/y), bookings $2.5B (1.12x b2b), backlog $32.1B (+5.1% y/y) .
- TAS led growth (+8.9% y/y), while R&DS improved bookings and pipeline despite an “unsettled” environment; management is leaning in with “see more, win more” to drive share gains amid some pricing pressure .
- Gross margin pressure driven two-thirds by mix (RWE within TAS, pass‑throughs/FSP in R&DS) and one‑third by FX; SG&A control offset ~one‑third of the compression .
- FY25 guidance narrowed: Revenue $16.1–$16.3B, Adj. EBITDA $3.75–$3.825B, Adj. EPS $11.75–$12.05; Q3 guide: revenue ~$4.10–$4.25B, Adj. EPS $2.93–$3.02; tailwinds include ~100 bps FX and ~150 bps M&A contribution, offset by ~$100M COVID step‑down in R&DS .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Revenue and profit came in above/towards the high end of expectations; first-ever $4B+ quarter; TAS outperformed with RWE strength. “Revenue exceeded the high end of our guidance range...” and TAS +8.9% y/y .
- Forward indicators improved: bookings $2.5B (1.12x), RFP flow up low‑teens y/y and high single digits q/q; backlog a record $32.1B, NTM revenue $8.1B (+4.8% y/y) .
- Strategic AI progress and industry recognition; NVIDIA collaboration and agentic AI use cases highlighted; Everest named IQVIA a gen‑AI front‑runner in life sciences .
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What Went Wrong
- Gross margin compressed, ~2/3 from mix (RWE in TAS; pass‑throughs/FSP in R&DS) and ~1/3 from FX; price competition remains elevated .
- Decision timelines remain elongated and the macro/industry policy environment “unsettled,” pressuring near‑term conversion despite stronger bookings .
- GAAP net income declined y/y ($266M vs $363M in Q2’24) amid higher interest expense and other below‑the‑line items .
Financial Results
Actuals by period (oldest → newest)
Q2 2025 actual vs S&P Global consensus
Segment breakdown (Q2 2025)
KPIs and cash/returns (oldest → newest)
Note: Adjusted metrics are non‑GAAP; see company reconciliations and explanations of adjustments .
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “Revenue exceeded the high end of our guidance range… Adjusted EBITDA and adjusted EPS came in towards the high end of our guidance range. TAS… 8.9%, led by double‑digit growth in real‑world evidence.” — Ari Bousbib, CEO .
- “Our qualified pipeline was up high single digits sequentially and year‑over‑year… RFP flow grew low teens year‑over‑year and high single digits sequentially… backlog reached a new record of over $32 billion.” — CEO .
- “We are all in [on AI]… developing AI agents… showcased by NVIDIA… use cases include target identification, clinical data review, literature review, market assessment, and HCP engagement.” — CEO .
- “Pressure on gross margin is mix‑driven for two‑thirds and FX‑driven for one‑third… at the SG&A level, we offset about a third of that margin compression.” — Management .
- “We will… accept some short‑medium‑term margin pressure in order to… build our backlog.” — CEO on pricing strategy .
Q&A Highlights
- TAS resilience and RWE strength: Decision timelines back to normal or better vs 2023; RWE was the strongest contributor; win rates and time‑to‑close improved .
- R&DS environment and strategy: Market still unsettled; clients moving forward on critical Phase 3s; IQV intensifying go‑to‑market (“see more, win more”), boosting win rates, especially in EBP .
- Margins: Gross margin compression from mix and FX; SG&A discipline offset a portion; near‑term mix headwinds (FSP/pass‑throughs, RWE) expected to persist a couple of quarters .
- Pricing: More CROs in bids; pricing pressure noted; IQV is prioritizing share capture with pricing flexibility, planning to recoup via efficiencies .
- Cadence: Large delayed trial expected to resume in late 2025, supporting a stronger Q4; TAS comps tough in 2H given strong Q4’24, but fundamentals remain solid .
- Cancellations and timelines: Cancellations normal; decision timelines remain elongated, though some large programs are moving ahead .
Estimates Context
- Q2 2025 beats: Revenue $4.017B vs $3.961B consensus; Primary EPS $2.81 vs $2.77 consensus . Values with asterisk below from S&P Global.
- Trajectory of beats: Q4 2024 revenue $3.958B vs $3.928B*; EPS $3.12 vs $3.11*; Q1 2025 revenue $3.829B vs $3.771B*; EPS $2.70 vs $2.63* .
Estimates comparison (S&P Global)
S&P Global disclaimer: Values marked with * are retrieved from S&P Global consensus via GetEstimates.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Quality beat and constructive 2H setup: modest revenue/EPS beats, improving bookings, and a record backlog support confidence into Q4 (boosted by a large trial restart) .
- Mix and FX headwinds compress margins near term; management is willing to trade some margin for share while investing in AI/process efficiency to re‑expand margins over time .
- TAS momentum likely durable, with RWE a structural growth pillar; watch for sustainability of consulting/tech sub‑segments recovery into 2026 .
- R&DS turning the corner on demand: higher RFP flow and win rates, especially in EBP, suggest share gains despite elongated decision cycles .
- Guidance is tighter: FY25 revenue narrowed to $16.1–$16.3B; profit ranges narrowed; Q3 set up implies steady sequential progress; monitor FX, pricing, and mix .
- Capital allocation remains active: $607M repurchases in Q2; net leverage at 3.61x post $2B notes issuance; balance sheet flexibility maintained .
- Near‑term trading: Stock may respond to backlog and bookings momentum, AI narrative, and Q3 guide; medium‑term thesis hinges on mix normalization, AI‑driven efficiencies, and sustained TAS/RWE growth .
Additional Details
- Press release highlights: Q2 revenue $4.017B (+5.3% y/y), Adj. EBITDA $910M (+2.6% y/y), GAAP EPS $1.54, Adj. EPS $2.81; OCF $443M; FCF $292M; backlog $32.1B; NTM backlog $8.1B; repurchases $607M .
- Q1 context: Revenue $3.829B; Adj. EBITDA $883M; Adj. EPS $2.70; bookings $2.1B; backlog $31.5B; FY25 revenue guidance raised on FX .
- Q4 2024 context: Revenue $3.958B; Adj. EBITDA $996M; Adj. EPS $3.12; bookings >$2.5B; backlog $31.1B; FCF $721M .
- Non‑GAAP: Company provides reconciliations and notes drivers of adjustments (e.g., purchase accounting amortization, restructuring, stock comp) .
S&P Global disclaimer: All consensus figures (marked with *) are retrieved from S&P Global via GetEstimates.